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The main force of Brent crude oil futures fell by 1.01% in the day to 72.80 US dollars/barrel.Pan Yuanyuan, Associate Research Fellow, Institute of World Economics and Politics, China Academy of Social Sciences: China's determination to expand high-level opening-up has not changed. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to expand high-level opening-up and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment. We will expand independent opening and unilateral opening in an orderly manner, steadily expand institutional opening, promote the quality improvement and efficiency improvement of the free trade pilot zone and expand the reform mandate, and accelerate the implementation of the core policy of Hainan Free Trade Port. Actively develop service trade, green trade and digital trade. Deepen the reform of foreign investment promotion system and mechanism. We will steadily open up the service industry, expand pilot projects in the fields of telecommunications, medical care and education, and continue to build the brand of "Invest in China". Promote high-quality joint construction of the "Belt and Road", deepen and improve the overseas comprehensive service system. Pan Yuanyuan, an associate researcher at the Institute of World Economics and Politics of China Academy of Social Sciences, said that the current situation of attracting foreign investment is rather grim, and the Central Economic Work Conference put forward the policy of expanding independent opening and unilateral opening, showing great determination to open up. In the face of difficulties and challenges, China is still actively exploring win-win cooperation with other countries and becoming a "stabilizer" in the turbulent international environment. Pan Yuanyuan believes that the current structure of attracting foreign investment in China has changed, and the service industry has great potential to attract foreign investment. Therefore, the next step is to further open the service industry. "Relying on China's large domestic market and industrial advantages, China has sufficient stamina to attract foreign investment and foreign investment." (SSE)Traders have reduced their bets on the easing policy of the European Central Bank, and it is now expected that the interest rate reduction will be less than 125 basis points in 2025.

The forecast of the European Central Bank assumes that the exchange rate of the euro against the US dollar will be 1.08 in 2024 and 1.06 in 2025, 2026 and 2027.Adobe(ADBE.O) fell by 12%, the biggest one-day drop since March 15th.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)

US National Security Adviser Sullivan: There are a series of risks in the situation in Syria; We fully expect that Israel's occupation of the Syrian buffer zone is temporary.Deutsche Bank: MARCUS CHROMIK was appointed as Chief Risk Officer.Tian Xuan, Dean of Tsinghua University National Institute of Finance and Professor of Finance: Comprehensive measures are taken to promote sustained and stable economic growth and high-quality development. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed that next year, we should persist in striving for progress while maintaining stability, promoting stability through progress, maintaining integrity and innovation, making innovations before breaking, systematically integrating and cooperating, enriching and improving the policy toolbox, and improving the foresight, pertinence and effectiveness of macro-control. In this regard, Tian Xuan, dean of Tsinghua University National Finance Research Institute and professor of finance, said that the meeting clarified the core strategy of economic work next year, emphasized the innovation, systematicness and coordination of policies, and reflected the decision-makers' accurate judgment on the economic situation and positive attitude towards new changes and challenges. Tian Xuan said that compared with the past, the current policy orientation is more positive, such as "moderately loose monetary policy" and "more active fiscal policy", paying more attention to innovation, while adhering to the basic principles and bottom line, exploring new working ideas, paying more attention to the systematic nature of policies, considering the mutual influence and synergistic effect between various policies and the coordination and cooperation between different departments and policies, and maximizing the policy effect through comprehensive policies to solve the outstanding problems currently facing and promote the economy. (SSE)